Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.028621 0.033313 0.038480 0.044585 0.051595 0.059383 0.068686
2025-10-12 0.022231 0.028499 0.036035 0.045736 0.057859 0.072477 0.091402
2025-10-19 0.016880 0.023568 0.032255 0.044300 0.060494 0.081430 0.110450
2025-10-26 0.013461 0.020277 0.029755 0.043785 0.063886 0.091481 0.132034
2025-11-02 0.010730 0.017322 0.027078 0.042393 0.065621 0.099258 0.151306
2025-11-09 0.008758 0.015067 0.024947 0.041310 0.067430 0.107106 0.171381
2025-11-16 0.007438 0.013563 0.023662 0.041219 0.070566 0.117093 0.195608
2025-11-23 0.006209 0.011969 0.021944 0.040096 0.071784 0.124069 0.215723
2025-11-30 0.005664 0.011473 0.021981 0.041890 0.077996 0.139687 0.251469
2025-12-07 0.004961 0.010552 0.021107 0.041912 0.081063 0.150261 0.279711
2025-12-14 0.004208 0.009395 0.019609 0.040540 0.081386 0.155997 0.299975
2025-12-21 0.003675 0.008588 0.018654 0.040049 0.083233 0.164568 0.326084
2025-12-28 0.003469 0.008457 0.019059 0.042359 0.090865 0.184808 0.376288
2026-01-04 0.003206 0.008154 0.019063 0.043847 0.097047 0.202953 0.424424
2026-01-11 0.002766 0.007359 0.017887 0.042659 0.097576 0.210096 0.451786
2026-01-18 0.002444 0.006790 0.017122 0.042259 0.099698 0.220618 0.486944
2026-01-25 0.002111 0.006126 0.016035 0.040960 0.099677 0.226676 0.513462
2026-02-01 0.001841 0.005573 0.015123 0.039935 0.100120 0.233714 0.542682
2026-02-08 0.001655 0.005215 0.014635 0.039858 0.102727 0.245667 0.583617
2026-02-15 0.001446 0.004748 0.013794 0.038776 0.102798 0.251960 0.612608
2026-02-22 0.001381 0.004693 0.014038 0.040518 0.109969 0.275100 0.681834
2026-03-01 0.001254 0.004423 0.013652 0.040540 0.112833 0.288493 0.729815
2026-03-08 0.001094 0.004016 0.012814 0.039212 0.112068 0.293182 0.757754